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Wednesday, May 20, 2015

South Africa under Zuma


THE REAL DILEMA OF PRESIDENT ZUMA.


 

In 1994 the ANC under the leadership of Nelson Mandela win the first democratic election in South Africa. It was highly likely that the revenge on apartheid would have led to the possible genocide of the white population of the country. Due to the negotiations between the new government some deals must have been made, these deals must have include enough security for the then special forces and other well trained South African Defence forces to stand down and on the other hand enough control for the new government and their freedom fighters to accept the deal. Part of the deal was to close all criminal files of the ANC, their freedom fighters and the special forces of the previous government. The reality of the matter was that the public especially the new voters wanted to see some justice, the only way to achieve this was through a process of reconciliation and the delivery of some people.

Some people had to take the fall for the rest of the country, had to take the fall to hide the criminal involvement of the new found freedom fighter and the old South African Defence force.

This deal always bothered me as some of the people that took the fall for the so called justice were always under the command of high ranking officers that walk totally free from the investigations, and left the following questions in my mind:

1)      Why did the new government negotiate?

2)      Why did they not open all the files and prosecute all the people they wanted to?

And then

3)      Why did they wait till the Zuma era to start major destabilisation and implementation?

4)      What or who caused the delays in the total redistribution of farm properties?

Any reasonable negotiation is normally earmarked by power sharing of the parties negotiating, it is therefore reasonable to accept that the previous government and concerned military parties had some reasonably strong cards on the table, which might have been the outgoing highly trained military forces and possibly the weapons still within the power of these forces. If this assumption is close to the truth the events following make more sense.

It makes sense that the new Government started playing the waiting game to wait for the military forces ageing and weaponry become outdated. During this period the constitution was designed to protect all the people in South Africa, to keep the ageing military trained forces from forming uprising to the government.

The ANC sat with their first dilemma to keep the balance between inpatient voters and the strong and unbeatable military trained people in the country, to combat this they decided to test the reaction from the predominant white trained people by changing a few street names. Once they realise that the resistance was not much they moved slightly towards more radical changes, keeping in mind that the forces are watching them.

I believe that they have started planning to allow the trained men to age to such a point where the only resistance would be mostly untrained people, that would bring us to the Zuma era, an era where trained South African Defence Force people would reach the age of retirement, where the impact of their resistance would become significantly smaller, where they could be controlled by a smaller police force.

 

Sequence of some events that I based my speculation on.


 

1)      THE FAILED EVENT TO REGISTER THE OLD DEFENSE FORCE PEOPLE FOR A PENSION SCHEME.

One of the problems that the ANC encountered was the lack of special force records available, to progress with their radical plan it was of utmost importance that they have up to date intelligence on who is still alive and who is still in the country.

How did I get to this conclusion?

All government pension funds and or allowances are restricted to individuals that do not have property and or a fixed income, suddenly for no reason at all they announced that all ex-SADF member will qualify for a pension with no restrictions. This event was only considered when the time has expired and due to the fact that anybody that fought in the Angola and other wars for the SADF was now at the age of retirement. It was still however very important that they know the whereabouts of these ex-soldiers.

If they had proper records from all the ex-soldiers it would have been possible to automatically register the pensions and only use the normal procedures to find out if they were still alive. The procedure however asked all ex members to register at certain points for this pension, part of the form was the unit that they have served under. This immediately left a ratty smell of information gathering; as the old defence force system had a force number that automatically place the person in units. The question that I had to ask was: Did they have these records or are they trying to create a new record?

The initiative however failed horribly as no special forces fell for it and registered for these pensions.

This led the ANC to the conclusion that all these soldiers are either out of the country or not able to register anymore. This then led to the second event...

 

2)      THE ANOUNCEMENT THAT ALL PROFESSIONAL SOLDIERS FIGHTING AS MERCENARIES IN OTHER COUNTRIES ARE NOW ILLEGAL AND COULD NOT RETURN TO SOUTH AFRICA WITHOUT PROCECUTION.

Once these measures was in place the first destabilisation of the country started. The obvious question now must be.

Why destabilise the country and what advantages will it holds for the ruling party?

Like in all democracies across the world it is important to stir the voters to a point where they demand action, where they demand the intervention of military or police action. In Africa however destabilisation means that the current ruler has the ability to remain in power to become an autocratic leader. I based this fact on rulers like Robert Mugabe who destabilise and become lifelong presidents. Our President needs to remain president to avoid criminal prosecution and the following events follow.

1)      The destabilising of parliament procedures, and the power showed of armed forces entering parliament. The event according to me was staged to prevent people to look at other events that unfolded in the country. All voter eyes were securely on parliament while the president secured the support of a Chinese ally to the detriment of the workforce in South Africa. The negotiating events almost went unnoticed by the voters as their attention was captured by Julius Malema and the noise in parliament. The storm in parliament however did not last long enough for Zuma to complete all his negotiations with his new found friends and his movement toward the Russians as new allies.

2)      The youth start their march to destroy all historical monuments in South Africa. According to me this event was designed in twofold, firstly to see how the resistance would react especially the Afrikaner and military trained people and secondly to keep the press and social media busy while the president start negotiations with the Russians. We must remember that these negotiations was with governments that have no human rights or constitutions in place, in fact both these countries use strong military forces to supress any resistance in their own countries, both countries will infiltrate any country without good reason.  The masking event was however not as successful as Zuma wished it to have been. The Afrikaner and ex-military once again did not fall for the trick, only a few reacted and once again the much feared ex-special forces did not show their faces, the majority of people that they hoped would make the event huge did not react. The ANC and Zuma needed a new event an event that would force great reaction.

3)      Xenophobia attacks broke out after the Zulu king and Jacob Zuma’s own son made well planned statements to turn the streets of Durban and Johannesburg into battle fields. The event captured the imagination of all the journalist in the world and people in South Africa demanded the military to be released on the streets to restore law and order.  According to Zuma and his undercover allies the EFF the table was now set for the radical changes and the implementation of property reforms in South Africa. The gears in the clock were set and laws and suggestions rolled out before the two leaders had the time to tell their people that the event did not succeed. They had no time to tell that the reaction of the neighbouring countries was not favourable and they never expected the Nigerian government to announce that the 80 old South African soldiers have defeated Boka Haram and accomplished more in two months than their defence force with the US Special Forces and the British forces could accomplish in six years. They did not keep in mind that the reaction against xenophobia from the Nigerian government would force them to acknowledge the ex-SADF military force and abolish the ban on these men.

 

The dilemma of Jacob Zuma

It was expected that the era of Jacob Zuma would have been the era of change, the era where the resistance would have changed from a trained military force to a complaining non-threatening public opinion. He and his friend Julius would have destabilise the country, new communist laws would have been implemented and a new life-long president would have been born.

To implement such radical changes takes lots of planning with coordinated actions and implementations by your appointed crowd.

All this was in place each appointed minister had his briefing and knew when to announce the new schemes, with military in the streets after the public demanded action on xenophobia, an uprising by old men from the ex-Sadf was unlikely.

The problem was the events that suddenly played out, the well organised ministers was not briefed or trained on how to judge the reactions, they had jobs to do and the two horrible twins (Jacob and Julius) would ensure that the destabilisation of the country would spread panic within the country to such a stage that the resistance would not even care about the reforms, they would have kept the resistance busy with marches against xenophobia, and the destruction of monuments. The police would have been demilitarising to ensure that the resistance had no protection if the military moved in the streets. They had the idea that these actions would have flushed the possible military resistance out and that the military presence would have captured an unorganised resistance.

The reality was however far removed from the planned actions, they did not keep in mind that the Afrikaner was the architect of guerrilla warfare, they forgot that the special forces was trained to combat communism and that they would have recognise the propaganda tactics of the ANC.

Zuma did not keep in mind, and did not expect that only a few Afrikaners would have reacted to the destruction of monuments, that the xenophobia would force him to make peace with his apartheid friends in Africa and that his formal friends would use and praised the ex-soldiers of the SADF Special Forces. He did not expect that the eighty well trained men in Nigeria would make headlines and prove that they could still do what the USA and Britain could not in six years. That they would prove to the world that their military capabilities is still the best in the world even at their retirement age.

The well organised ministers however continued to roll out new laws to supress the Afrikaner further; it is however clear that the redistribution was not thought through properly and that one man drafted a suggestion on farmland without any legal assistance.

Even the main opposition party was caught off guard and showed their involvement in the destruction pre maturely, by voting with the ANC against the protection of historical monuments in Cape Town.

Zuma is sitting with the dilemma that he needs to reinforce the basic principles, which he needs to calm his voters down by proving some of the lies that they included into history. Suddenly the Sunday Times is used to publish photographs of Quito Cuanavale to show the people how the Ex-SADF withdraws out of Angola, to prove that the ANC have won the war. They however forgot to check the vehicles in the photograph crossing the Cubango River and the time frames of withdrawal. In the photo is a bullnose Mercedes troop carrier of the early 1970’s, these vehicles were decommissioned in the 80’s and was not used by the SADF in 1988. The Angolan Government troops however used these vehicles, so if this was the real withdrawal it shows a captured vehicle.

On the same bridge it shows old land Rovers, these vehicles was used to transport senior officers in Angola, the Land Rovers was however upgraded to new land rovers in the middle 80’s, so once again why did the SADF use old vehicles in the attack? Let us discuss these photos some other time.

 

It seems that the same military card is still on the table, that the farm murders and exclusion of white South African in the economic market did not break the Afrikaner spirit. In fact the only thing that the ANC managed to change in 20 years is the crime statistics, and the failure of all government infrastructures. They managed to make us world leaders in murder rates; they managed to keep the voter uneducated and poor, become the first country in the world to face a total power failure.

 

Your move comrade china Jacob (Nkandla) Zuma

 

 

Willie Beetge